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PICOF-18

 

Concept Note and Agenda   

Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum – 18 (PICOF-18)

23-24 April 2026

Hybrid: Nadi, Fiji and via Zoom

The Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum (PICOF) is based on the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional Climate Outlook Forum concept. 

The PICOF is co-organised by the Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Pacific  Regional Climate Centre Network (RCC-N), with technical support provided by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), Earth Sciences New Zealand (ESNZ), APEC Climate Centre (APCC), Meteo-France, US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Pacific Community (SPC) and the University of Hawaii as members of the Pacific RCC-N Node for Long-Range Forecasting in partnership with the Pacific Islands Climate Services (PICS) Panel. The latter ensures the needs of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), and their stakeholders are met. The sponsor of PICOF-18 is SPREP CLIMSA. Ongoing BOM, SPREP and SPC support is largely funded by COSPPac.

Additional information on PICOF and the WMO Pacific RCC Network is available via the Pacific Met Desk Website

Overall objective: To discuss and produce objective, user-relevant regional climate and ocean outlook guidance in real time to support Pacific Island Countries and Territories (PICTs) NMHSs produce national climate and oceans climate information for their national stakeholders, with the ultimate aim to reduce climate-related risks and support sustainable development for the coming season in sectors of critical socioeconomic significance. 

 

Objectives:

  1. Review the climate and oceanic conditions in the western Pacific region for the period November 2025 to April 2026;

  2. Present and discuss long-term trends and projections for selected climate and ocean variables;

  3. Present monthly and seasonal climate, ocean and tropical cyclone outlooks for the Southwest Pacific region for the period May to October 2026;

  4. Discuss and review confidence/skill associated with May to October 2026 outlooks based on the discussions associated with 1-3.

 

Expected Outcomes:

  1. Improved understanding of climate and ocean monitoring and prediction specifically for the target monitoring and prediction periods. 

  2. Enhanced understanding of outlook confidence/skill for the period in question;

  3. A regional PICOF statement containing climate, ocean and tropical cyclone outlooks for May to October 2026 which NMHSs can use as guide to develop their national statements;

  4. A PICOF-18 report;

  5. Content for regional partner and NMHSs climate and ocean bulletins as well as media and social media releases.

 

Registration Form

To register for the Eighteenth Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum (PICOF-18) click on the registration link: here

 

PICOF-18 Agenda

Day 1 - Thursday 23 April, 2026. 
TimeAgenda ItemResponsible

9.00am-9.30am

(0600hrs Palau time, 1100hrs Honolulu time and 2100hrs UTC)

Registration

 

SPREP
9.30am-10.00am

Opening and Setting the Scene

 

Opening prayer

 

Opening remarks

 

 

Meeting objectives

MC – Sunny Seuseu

 

TBC

  • Fiji Met Service Address: Mr. Misa Funaki, Director Fiji Met Service.
  • WMO Address:  Ms. Ko Barett, WMO Deputy Secretary General
  • SPREP Address: Mr. Salesa Nihmei, Director Climate Science and Information Programme

PICS Panel/RCC Management Committee Chair

10.00am-10.30am

Morning tea and PICOF-18 official photograph

10.30am-11.00pm

Session 1: ENSO Status and Outlook

Including highlights from Global Seasonal Climate Update (GSCU)

ESNZ, BOM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, SPC

 

 

 

11.00am-11.30am

 

 

 

11.30am-12.00pm

Session 2: Looking Back - Review and Evaluation of November to April Climate Outlook

i. Atmosphere

Overview of November to April state of the climate, plus evaluation of the last PICOF outlook

ii. Ocean 

Overview of November to April state of the ocean, plus evaluation of the last PICOF outlook

 

 

NOAA, University of Hawaii, BOM, SPC, SPREP, ESNZ

 

NOAA, University of Hawaii, BOM, SPC, SPREP, ESNZ

12.00pm-1.00pm

Lunch

1.00pm-1.30pm

iii. Tropical cyclones

Overview of the TCs over November to April 

NOAA, University of Hawaii, BOM, SPC, SPREP, ESNZ
1.30pm-2.00pm

iv. Impacts

Overview of extreme events and their impacts on the environment and society over the last six months

Kiribati, New Caledonia and Tuvalu 
2.00pm-2.20pm

v. Attribution of impacts

In this session we attempt to associate the extreme events to the major drivers of variability e.g. ENSO

TBD

 

 

 

2.20pm-2.50pm

 

 

 

2.50pm-3.10pm

Session 3: Looking Forward – Monthly and Seasonal Outlooks for May to October 2025

Session 3i Atmosphere

PICOF outlook and RCC Node for LRF individual model/MME guidance and skill comparison

 

Group work identifying potential impacts of anomalous climate conditions in each subregion

 

 

ESNZ, BOM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, SPC

 

 

3.10pm-3.40pm

Afternoon tea

 

3.40pm-4.10pm

 

 

4.10pm-4.30pm

Session 3ii Ocean

PICOF outlook and RCC Node for LRF individual model/MME guidance and skill comparison

 

Group work identifying potential impacts of anomalous oceanic conditions in each subregion

ESNZ, BOM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, SPC

 

Day 2 - Friday 24 April, 2026. 

TimeAgenda ItemResponsible

9.00am-9.15am

(0600hrs Palau time, 1100hrs Honolulu time and 2100hrs UTC)

Objective of the dayPacific RCC-N Coordinator
9.15am-9.45am

Session 3iii

Tropical cyclones

PICOF outlook and RCC Node for LRF individual model/MME guidance and skill comparison

ESNZ, BOM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, SPC
9.45am-10.15am

Session 4i: Looking Back Long-Term

Surface and subsurface ocean temperature, coral bleaching and marine heat waves

CSIRO, UGCRP, BOM, ESNZ and SPREP
10.15am-10.45am

Morning tea

10.45am-11.45pm

Session 4ii: Looking Forward Long-Term

Surface and subsurface ocean temperature, coral bleaching and marine heat waves

CSIRO, UGCRP, BOMESNZ and SPREP
11.45am-12.15pm

Session 5: Pacific RCC-N website Status

Questions and Discussion

Pacific RCC-N (Chair)
12.15pm-12.30pmNext stepsPacific RCC-N (Chair)
12.30pm-1.30pm

Lunch

1.30-4.30pmPICS panel meeting (refer to separate agenda - below)

Pacific Island Climate Services Panel Meeting 

Background

The Pacific Island Climate Services Panel (PICS Panel) was endorsed by the Second Meeting of the Pacific Meteorological Council (PMC-2) to serve in the capacity of an advisory committee to the Pacific Meteorological Council (PMC) on climate services matters in the Pacific region.

The PICS Panel established the WMO RA V Pacific Regional Climate Centre Network (Pacific RCC-N), endorsed by the PMC in 2017 (currently in demonstration mode). The Pacific RCC-N is a virtual Centre of Excellence that assists National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) in the Pacific Islands region to deliver climate services and products and to strengthen their capacity to meet national climate information and service delivery needs.  While the Pacific RCC provides operational scientific services to NMHSs for long range forecasting, climate monitoring, climate projections, data services and training, the PICS Panel provides a strategic advisory service, providing the link between the Pacific RCC Management Committee and the PMC.

The purpose of the PICS Panel is to provide non-technical scientific advisory services to the PMC on matters related to the strengthening and coordinating of climate services at the community, national and regional levels and to guide the Pacific RCC-N in implementing the GFCS in a way consistent with Pacific climate service priorities. Future management of the Pacific RCC-N would ideally be delivered by the Pacific RCC-N management committee (with the PICS panel as a member). The Pacific RCC-N would ideally sit alongside the PICS Panel, co-managed by the WMO and PMC.

The role of the PICS Panel, in consultation with other partners, is to provide non-technical advice to the PMC on the following:

  1. The strengthening, coordination, continuity and integration of current and future programmes, projects and initiatives that support climate services at the community, national and regional levels.

  1. The enhancement of avenues and modes of multi-way communication and feedback between climate services providers and users to enhance the uptake and use of relevant and tailored climate services down to the communities and individuals.

  1. Advisory to, and monitoring of, climates services-related projects and programmes in the Pacific that address priority activities outlined in the Pacific Island Meteorological Strategy (PIMS) 2017-2026 (in particular, PKOs 4-6) 

  1. Seek funding support for and monitoring of the regional and national actions listed in the "Pacific Roadmap for Strengthened Climate Services 2017-2026”.

  1. Advisory to, operational activities of the WMO RA V Pacific Regional Climate Centre, ensuring consistency with key climate service-related Pacific strategic priorities identified by the PMC and outlined in the Pacific Island Meteorological Strategy (PIMS) 2017-2026 and the Pacific Roadmap for Strengthened Climate Services 2017-2026.

  1. The review of regional climate services needs and capabilities to recommend changes or further development Pacific RCC Network nodes products and services, in the areas of: 

    • Long-Range Forecasting - climate predictions (seasonal and sub-seasonal), climate and multi-hazard early warning

    • Climate Monitoring (both short- and long-term climate) 

    • Climate Change Projections 

    • Operational Data Services - data and product-based services 

    • Training - relevant to the different RCC nodes 

    • Research and development, 

  1. Coordination of activities with other PMC panels, such as the PIAWS, PHS, PIMOS, PICI and PIETR panels.

  2. The regular reporting to the PMC members on the progress of the PICS Panel and on the activities of the Pacific RCC.

Meeting Objectives

  1. Review last meeting minutes
  2. Develop PICS panel 2026 annual plan
  3. Review of PICS panel TOR
  4. RCC and PMC-8 Updates
  5. Design workshop details to unpack the Pacific Roadmap for Strengthen Climate Services

Expected Outcomes

  1. 1. PICS ToR reviewed and updated
  2. 2026 PICs panel Annual Plan
  3. PICS panel members update with RCC plan and PMC-8
  4. A detail workshop agenda to unpack of climate Services roadmap

Attendees

PICS panel Members:  Simon McGree, Arieta Baleisolomone, Salesa, Nihmei, Philip Malsale, Sunny Seuseu, Silipa Mulitalo,  Maria Ngemaes, Johannes Berdon, Kasis Inape, John Ruben, Alexandre Peltier, Selu Finaulahi, Rossy Mitiepo, Elinore Lutu McMoore, Victoire Laurent, Kamaitia Rubeetake, Brandon Bukunt, Nicolas Fauchereau, Leanne Webb, Jen Stewart, Jin Ho Yoo, Elisabeth Thompson, Awnesh Singh, Moleni  Tu’uholoaki

 

Pacific Regional Climate Centre Network (RCC-N) Designation Planning Meeting Agenda

Date: 24th  April, 2026

Venue: Novotel, Nadi, Fiji